PROSPECTIVE THERMAL POWER GENERATION IN THE WESTERN BALKAN COUNTRIES

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyse the expansion of the thermal generation in the long-term for the Western Balkan region. This paper concentrates on the estimation of long-term energy data for the (Western) Balkan countries. The process was implemented by the use of the PRIMES model in order to perform simulations for the future growth of electricity supply and demand in the region. Two scenarios were applied. The first (Baseline) scenario was based on the current energy path of each country and on the absence of any specific energy policy like tax emissions or renewable subsidies. The second (Reference) scenario was practically a series of "environmental" sub-scenarios, based on specific energy subsidy policy applied to the electricity generated by renewable sources. Results were given for the period between 2015 and 2050 in 5-year steps and conclusions were made for the whole region. As such, the results can feed up trials of energy planning referring to the future energy condition.

Keywords

Dates

  • Submission Date2014-02-21
  • Revision Date2014-06-14
  • Acceptance Date2014-07-30
  • Online Date2014-09-06

DOI Reference

10.2298/TSCI140221101T

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