ANALYSIS OF RAINFALL VARIATION UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE IN MIYUN RESERVOIR

Abstract

Miyun reservoir is a surface water source of the city of Beijing. This paper explores the relationship between reservoir basin runoff and climate change. Statistical analyses are employed to analyze the variations in rainfall, air temperature, and runoff in the reservoir basin. Results show uneven inter-annual variability in rainfall data series. Air temperature show a rising trend with 1993 and 1994 being the two significant mutation years. Runoff has been decreasing over the years. Based one inter-annual analysis, July and August had the largest runoff. Elastic analysis shows no significant relationship between rainfall and runoff.

Dates

  • Submission Date2014-03-14
  • Revision Date2014-04-08
  • Acceptance Date2014-07-12
  • Online Date2015-01-04

DOI Reference

10.2298/TSCI1405481C

References

  1. Duan, X. G., et al., Analysis of Precipitation and Runoff Characteristics in Miyun Reservoir Basin, Beijing Water Affair, 1 (2013), 4, pp. 38-41
  2. Yang, X. H., et al., Chaotic Bayesian Method Based on Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) for Forecasting Nonlinear Hydrological Time Series, International Journal of Nonlinear Sciences and Numerical Simulation, 10 (2009), 11-12, pp. 1595-1610
  3. Yang, X. H., et al., Nonlinear Optimization Set Pair Analysis Model (NOSPAM) for Assessing Water Resource Renewability, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 18 (2011), 5, pp. 599-607
  4. Bosnjakovic, B., Geopolitics of Climate Change: a Review, Thermal Science, 16 (2012), 3, pp. 629-654
  5. Chen, Y., et al., Relationship between Runoff Evolution and Climate Change Based on the Elastic Analysis of the Minjiang River, Journal of Fujian Normal University (Natural Science Edition), 6 (2011), 10, pp. 1-5
  6. Yang, S. S., et al., New Optimal Weight Combination Model for Forecasting Precipitation, Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2012 (2012), pp. 1-13
  7. Sang, Y. F., Spatial and Temporal Variability of Daily Temperature in the Yangtze River Delta, China, Atmospheric Research, 112 (2012), pp. 12-24
Volume 18, Issue 5, Pages1481 -1485